Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.616216 0.706846 0.805439 0.920563 1.051202 1.194743 1.364321
2025-01-12 0.478316 0.600672 0.745345 0.928610 1.154153 1.422212 1.764528
2025-01-19 0.366300 0.500225 0.671205 0.904533 1.213597 1.607772 2.147344
2025-01-26 0.306051 0.451264 0.650065 0.940249 1.350834 1.908440 2.720107
2025-02-02 0.263790 0.417417 0.641643 0.989637 1.512295 2.263324 3.418256
2025-02-09 0.221143 0.374013 0.610944 1.000304 1.618339 2.553813 4.066634
2025-02-16 0.185414 0.333855 0.577242 0.999113 1.703962 2.823189 4.718661
2025-02-23 0.157622 0.301031 0.548895 1.000412 1.791483 3.104337 5.423951
2025-03-02 0.134448 0.271549 0.520630 0.996104 1.867052 3.373232 6.141228
2025-03-09 0.118224 0.251633 0.505558 1.011824 1.978136 3.713806 7.020797
2025-03-16 0.101728 0.227879 0.479102 1.001511 2.038952 3.971392 7.782552
2025-03-23 0.091446 0.214816 0.471019 1.024879 2.165581 4.362268 8.833124
2025-03-30 0.079002 0.195003 0.446611 1.012825 2.223533 4.635992 9.706613
2025-04-06 0.070314 0.181953 0.434333 1.024310 2.331271 5.020449 10.845803
2025-04-13 0.060285 0.163679 0.407429 0.999544 2.358756 5.246814 11.694373
2025-04-20 0.055851 0.158339 0.409210 1.039909 2.534281 5.801386 13.292218
2025-04-27 0.052681 0.155626 0.416774 1.094982 2.750639 6.468689 15.209188
2025-05-04 0.047570 0.146624 0.407299 1.107196 2.868739 6.934055 16.736701
2025-05-11 0.042483 0.136597 0.393455 1.106185 2.954770 7.336906 18.169686
2025-05-18 0.038152 0.127830 0.381398 1.107807 3.047371 7.765425 19.710692
2025-05-25 0.034119 0.119076 0.367835 1.103183 3.123305 8.162930 21.223269
2025-06-01 0.031318 0.113596 0.362572 1.120581 3.259227 8.721803 23.189130
2025-06-08 0.027934 0.105433 0.348024 1.109266 3.316386 9.091009 24.726576